Fundamental and Tech Analysis

Articles written by myself on the future of Frontier Developments

Share Price Scenarios

Updated predictions for share price in 2019, along with current status of fourth franchise reveal date.

investfdev.webnode.com/share-price-scenarios/

Share Price Reaction to Trading Update 19/07/18

Regarding the confusing drop in share price after the announcement of 1 million unit sales of Jurassic World Evolution.

Share Price Reaction to Trading Upate

Recent Share Price Action 03/07/2018

Recent Share Price Action

Future Share Price based on Jurassic World Evolution Sales Income

Future Share Price

Jurassic World Evolution Sales Prediction

JWE Sales Predictions

Follow Chart Positions at links below

Amazon USA

Xbox

www.amazon.com/Jurassic-World-Evolution-PlayStation-4/dp/B07CCBRLJR/ref=sr_1_1?ie=UTF8&qid=1524559683&sr=8-1&keywords=jurassic+world+evolution+video+game

PS4

www.amazon.com/Best-Sellers-Video-Games-PlayStation-Consoles-Accessories/zgbs/videogames/6427814011/ref=sn_gfs_co_bsVisnav_P_1?_encoding=UTF8&pf_rd_p=8d69df15-a13f-4748-803c-1ef86238c9f6&pf_rd_r=CXW62JNM5N5XKZ0BJSAP&pf_rd_s=videogames-subnav-flyout-content-10&pf_rd_t=SubnavFlyout

Amazon UK

XBOX

www.amazon.co.uk/Best-Sellers-PC-Video-Games-Xbox-One-Consoles-Accessories/zgbs/videogames/13978643031/ref=sn_gfs_co_sv_vg_1_XO_1?_encoding=UTF8&pf_rd_p=f6a1ae5c-e9fe-4d2c-9eee-d6619c9270bb&pf_rd_r=0BNBRD46CM5VR9Z0ZKT8&pf_rd_s=videogames-subnav-flyout-content-1&pf_rd_t=SubnavFlyout

PS4

www.amazon.co.uk/Sold-Out-Sales-Marketing-SOSM1136/dp/B07CB72XG2/ref=sr_1_1?ie=UTF8&qid=1524559640&sr=8-1&keywords=jurassic+world+evolution+ps4

Amazon Germany

XBOX

www.amazon.de/gp/bestsellers/videogames/2785606031/ref=sn_gfs_co_DE_VG_visualsub_XO_2?ie=UTF8&pf_rd_p=b86cf28d-731e-43e0-806b-0fbe10558c5f&pf_rd_r=HJ117MKXM61GC3PAYN3M&pf_rd_s=vg-subnav-flyout-content-10&pf_rd_t=SubnavFlyout

PS4

www.amazon.de/Jurassic-World-Evolution-PlayStation-4/dp/B07BYMXJBM/ref=sr_1_1?ie=UTF8&qid=1524557216&sr=8-1&keywords=jurassic%2Bworld%2Bevolution%2Bps4&dpID=51OdrBvIffL&preST=_SY300_QL70_&dpSrc=srch&th=1

PS4 Store

store.playstation.com/en-gb/grid/STORE-MSF75508-GAMETOPSELLERS/1

Xbox Store

www.microsoft.com/en-gb/store/top-paid/games/xbox?icid=CNavXboxGamesDownload

PC Steam Chart

www.gametopsellers.com/game/648350/jurassic-world-evolution

Jurassic World Evolution Chart Positions

July 2nd

Amazon Charts for Physical Disk

PS4: 1

XBOX : 2

USA

PS4: 1

XBOX : 3

Germany

PS4 : 1

XBOX : 2

France

PS4 : 2

XBOX : 3

PS4 Store Digital Download

UK: 1 (Deluxe) + 3 (Standard)

XBOX Store Digital Download

UK: 7 (Deluxe) + 8 (Standard)

Steam Chart

UK: 2 (in non sale games)

Global: 4 (in non sale games)

JUNE 26th

Steam Digital Download

UK: 1 of games not involved in summer sale IE: Full Price

Global : 2 of games not involved in summer sale IE: Full Price

PS4 Store Digital Download

UK: 1 + 2 (Deluxe and Standard edition)

XBOX Store Digital Download

UK: 3 + 5 (Deluxe + Standard)

Amazon Charts for Physical Disk

PS4: 4

XBOX : 2

USA

PS4: 6

XBOX : 5

Germany

PS4 : 2

XBOX : 5

France

PS4 : 2

XBOX : 2

Growth Comparison

A basic comparison of growth between FDEV, PDX and TTWO from 2013. (Frontier Developments, Paradox Interactive, TakeTwo).

Frontier Developments (green and red line), Paradox Interactive (light orange), and Take Two (darker orange). Frontier has by far out performed both other companies since 2013 in terms of growth. Interesting to notice the similarities between growth patterns of FDEV and PDX for the current year. Both had a rapid up turn after the quarterly reports, Paradox increased slightly more than FDEV during this period due to their profits growing by 120%. A good factor to bear in mind when speculating where the SP of FDEV might go after revenue from Jurassic World Evolution is announced.

Even considering FDEV's staggering growth to date, they are currently experiencing their most transformative year to date. Jurassic World Evolution is set to double units sales of previous games, Elite Dangerous has been released on PS4 growing sales to 2.5 million at the last update, with Planet Coaster cruising past the 1.5 million mark. Updates to all games are still incoming so expect future growth to continue.

With very few UK based tech companies on the market FDEV is increasingly looking like one of the best investment opportunities.